December 20, 2010

Correlation != Causation

(from PeteSearch)
My dog Thor hates getting wet, but even when there's rain lashing against the windows he still starts off dancing in circles when it's time for his walk. It's only when I pull out his yellow rain jacket that he slumps and stares at me mournfully. He seems convinced that if I just left the jacket off, the rain would go away.

Much as I try and convince him of the error in his logic, he's unmoved, and it's hard to blame him. Humans will happily swallow studies that use the weasel word 'link' to claim something that is associated with an outcome is its cause … I half-expect to get up one morning and discover that Thor's eaten the raincoat, in the hope of bringing back the sun …

December 19, 2010

Random funny

(from http://neil.fraser.name/news/2007/04/07/ ... the carving there is great too!)
Early Friday morning I walked by a garbage can outside one of the Google cafés. A bird which had been feeding on scraps saw me coming, exploded out of the garbage can and flew off. A passing coworker looked at me incredulously and said "Someone threw out a perfectly good bird."